CLV by Fighter

For every UFC fight that has a closing line, we convert the closing American odds into an implied win probability. CLV = actual win rate − average implied probability. Positive means the fighter beat the market; negative means the market overrated them. Sample is restricted to fighters with 2+ priced fights in the current odds dataset.

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Source: ufc_v_clv_fighter joins closing American odds to round stats by event date + fighter name. American odds are converted with the standard implied-probability formula (no vig adjustment).